October 22nd NFL Sunday Plays

WHO’S READY FOR A MONSTER SUNDAY???

We are coming off a clean 2-0 Thursday Night Football Sweep (+1.90u)! Consistency is key for us and we’ve shown that. We profited (0.96u) last Sunday, let’s look for an even bigger weekend this time around.

Sunday’s plays will always be posted on my Twitter on Friday/Saturday and the Newsletter will come out shortly after that!

I’ve been in the lab all week and I’m stoked to bring you guys my favorite spots for this upcoming weekend. The reads feel extremely sharp.

Underdog is giving out FOUR Free Squares for Sunday’s action: I highly recommend these for New Users.

LeBron James Over 0.5 Total Pts > This is available until the NBA opening day tip-off. This is live now and available for EVERYONE.

Jalen Hurts Over 0.5 Pass Yds > This one is for new users only.

Lamar Jackson Over 0.5 Pass Yds > This one is for new users only.

Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 Pass Yds > This one is for new users only.

Sleeper is giving out ONE Free Square for new users, and TWO discounted lines available to everyone. The discounted lines will be announced tomorrow and posted on my Twitter: Use CODE AUSTIN for all DFS apps to get a $100 deposit match.

AJ Brown Over 0.5 Receiving Yds > This is available for new users only, this will be available until SNF game time.

These are all correlated plays/promos that I will be utilizing. Long term, this is the easiest way to build a bankroll and continue profiting. Use code AUSTIN if new to Underdog, Chalkboard, Sleeper, PrizePicks, ParlayPlay, or any other app. It’s the best way to support me so I can keep this work free for you guys!

As always, every bet I take is tracked on Pikkit (Free Bet Tracking App). This is the best place you can view each of my slips entirely free!

Now let’s get into business and talk about the plays:

Sunday Football Main Plays,

D’Andre Swift 13.5 Rush Att “O” (-120) MGM,Sleeper,Underdog, PrizePicks, Chalkboard 

Philly looked flat-out awful last week. They didn’t even attempt to get a run game going and forced Hurts to drop back 45 times. I believe this changes Sunday and Philly attempts to establish the run early as they likely want to control the clock and avoid their banged-up secondary from being exposed by all of Miami’s weapons. Swift has taken over as the RB1 and covered 4 straight prior to last week. I expect this game to stay extremely close and Philly has shown this season to target touches for guys after massive letdown weeks. Philly holds the advantage in the run game, utilize it. This is quietly my favorite spot this week.

Josh Jacobs 21.5 Rec Yds “O” DK/All DFS(-120) DK,Sleeper,Underdog, PrizePicks, Chalkboard 

Chicago runs BY FAR the most Cover-2 in the NFL. They allow the most yards per route to RBs in the NFL at 10.2. Jacobs also has 20+ Routes run each of the last 4 games and hasn't had less than 16 rec yds all season which is a super safe floor. RBs typically dominate Cover 2 which is why we continue targeting matchups like these this season.

RBs vs CHI so far: Mattison 4 Rec for 28, Gibson+Robinson 8 Rec for 97, Perine+McLaughlin 5 Rec for 55 Yards, Pacheco+McKinnon 5 for 35 yards, White 5 for 30, Jones+Dillon 4 for 103

Desmond Ridder 29.5 Pass Att “O” (-110) MGM, Sleeper, Underdog, PrizePicks, Chalkboard  

Ridder faces a Bucs D who averages 38 pass attempts per game, 5th most per game in the entire league. Ridder has smashed this line the last 5 weeks while the Bucs have allowed 4/5 QBs to go over this spot against them. The only miss was Justin Fields who finished at 29. Tampa has been solid up front at slowing the run and will likely try to erase Bijan/Allgeier to make Ridder beat them. ATL is +3 underdogs and if they trail in this one late at all I think this spot could soar over.

Cooper Kupp 89.5 Rec Yds “O” (-120) DK, Sleeper, Underdog, PrizePicks, Chalkboard  

This guy is the epitome of consistency. Kupp with Stafford has covered this line in 25/30 games in the past 2 seasons. Steelers run cover 3, the 9th most in the NFL, which Kupp has absolutely crushed these past 3 years. Dating back to 2021 Kupp has a 33% target share/31% target per route run against cover 3. Another plus in this matchup is opposing WR1s have been excellent as Aiyuk, Cooper, Adams, and Collins all had over 90+ yards against PIT. The Rams are banged up at the RB position as well, so I expect Kupp’s line to be back in the high 90s after he takes care of business this week. That is all I have locked thus far!

Lamar Jackson 28.5 Pass Att “O” (-130) DK Sleeper, Underdog, Chalkboard  

Very similar read to our Ridder play. This prop has been our most profitable this season, so it’s only right to target them in matchups like this. Every starting QB vs the Lions has gone over 36 pass attempts and DET is tied for 5th most attempts allowed this year. Lamar has also hit this spot 4/6 times. I expect both run games to be less effective in what should be a highly competitive matchup and it wouldn’t surprise me at all if we see both offenses airing it out (playable at 29.5).

Keep Notifications on my Twitter @austinsprops to make sure not to miss any additional content!

Thanks for following along!

-Austin